Bank Director’s 2015 Acquire or Be Acquired Conference Primer

On Sunday, January 25, we kick off Bank Director’s 21st annual “Acquire or Be Acquired” Conference (@bankdirector and #AOBA15) at the luxurious Phoenician resort in Scottsdale, Arizona.  I am so very excited to be a part of this three day event — and am supremely proud of our team that is gearing up to host more than 800 men and women.  With so many smart, talented and experienced speakers on the agenda, let me share a primer on a few terms and topics that will come up.  In addition, you will find several links to recent research studies that will be cited before I share one example of the type of issues being both presented and addressed at “AOBA.”

Colorful Language

Just as M&A is a colorful — and complex — issue, so too are the words, terms and considerations used by attorneys, investment bankers and consultants in management meetings, in the boardroom or at the negotiating table.  Here are three terms I thought to both share and define in advance of AOBA (ay-o-bah):

  • Triangular merger: This happens when the acquirer creates a holding company to acquire the target and both the acquirer and the target become subsidiaries of the holding company.
  • Cost of capital: You could say this is the cost to a company of its capital, but another way to look at it simply is this: the minimum return you need to generate for your investors, both shareholders and debt holders. This is what it costs you to operate and pay them back for their investment.
  • Fixed exchange ratio: This is the fixed amount for which the seller exchanges its shares for the acquirer’s shares. If the buyer’s stock price falls significantly post-announcement, that could mean the seller is getting significantly less value.

Again, these are but three of the many terms one can expect to hear when it comes to structuring, pricing and negotiating a bank merger or acquisition.

Research Reports

Throughout the year, our team asks officers and directors of financial institutions to share their thoughts on board-specific issues — like growth and more specifically, mergers & acquisitions.  Allow me to share an overview on these two research reports along with links to the full results:

Of note: 84% of the officers and board members who responded to this Growth Strategy Survey, sponsored by the technology firm CDW, say that today’s highly competitive environment is their institutions’ greatest challenge when it comes to organic growth — a challenge further exacerbated by the increasing number of challengers from outside the industry primed to steal business from traditional banks.

Of note: There’s no shortage of financial institutions seeking an acquisition in 2015, but fewer banks plan to sell than last year, according to the bank CEOs, senior officers and board members who completed Bank Director’s 2015 Bank M&A Survey, sponsored by Crowe Horwath LLP.

Valuing a Bank

Understanding what one’s bank is really worth today is hugely important.  Whether buying, selling or simply growing organically, a bank needs metrics in place to know and grow its valuation.  On BankDirector.com this past October, I shared why earnings are becoming more important than tangible book value (Why Book Value Isn’t the Only Way to Measure a Bank). Clearly, a bank that generates greater returns to shareholders is more valuable; thus, the emphasis on earnings and returns rather than book value.  Yes, investors and buyers will always use book value as a way to measure the worth of banks. Still, I anticipate conversations at the conference that builds on the idea that as the market improves and more acquisitions are announced, we should expect to see more attention to earnings and price-to-earnings as a way to value banks.

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Please feel free to comment on today’s piece below or share a thought via Twitter (I’m @aldominick).  More to come from the “much-warmer-than-Washingon DC” Arizona desert and Acquire or Be Acquired in the days to come.

Time To Sell The Bank?

From the the appeal of spreading into new geographies to the attractiveness of acquiring exceptional talent to drive new sources of revenue, the need and desire to grow exists at virtually every financial institution. For those pursuing another bank, a merger or acquisition (M&A) provides an avenue to drive earnings while improving operating leverage, efficiency and scale. I have written about M&A from a potential buyers point-of-view (e.g. Acquire or Be Acquired – Sunday Recap); today’s piece flips the script and highlights three issues that may precipitate a sale.

Compliance Costs

Banks are facing some very significant challenges in the years ahead — and not just from consolidation.  As KPMG shared in its An Industry At a Pivot Point, “the costs and time stresses created by the regulatory environment are not going away, and will continue to affect four areas for banks: strategy and business models, interactions with customers and client assets, data and reporting structures, and governance and risk capabilities.”  Certainly, the sharply increased cost of regulatory compliance might lead some to seek a buyer; others will respond by trying to get bigger through acquisitions so they can spread the costs over a wider base.

Capital Concerns

Some banks will have to raise capital just to meet the Basel III requirements, while others will have to raise capital to do an acquisition or support their organic growth. The required levels are so much higher now that banks will have to manage their capital much more closely than they did before.  (*If you’re looking for a central resource for the many ongoing regulatory changes that are reshaping bank capital and prudential requirements in the United States, take a look at Davis Polk’s excellent Capital and Prudential Standards Blog.)

Earnings Pressure

As the attractiveness of branch networks and deposit franchises dwindles, lack of top-line growth will lead to further industry consolidation. With little overall changes in our economy, in-market mergers between banks with significant overlap in branches and operations offer tremendous cost-saving opportunities when done skillfully.

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To comment on this piece, click on the green circle with the white plus sign on the bottom right. Aloha Friday!

In the Face of Intense Competition

Financial institutions face intense competition from non-banks like PayPal, American Express, Walmart and Quicken Loans…  and a rapidly changing demographic that demands new approaches to attract and retain customers (be it individual or business).  Today’s post takes a look at two financial technology companies working to keep banks relevant as customers increasingly expect a“one stop shop” in all areas of their lives.

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Over on FiveThirtyEight.com

On FiveThirtyEight, Nate Silver’s newly launched website at ESPN, the editorial team leverages statistical analysis to tell compelling stories about politics, science and yes, sports.  While much digital ink has been spilled on this week’s NFL draft,  the site’s chief economics writer, Ben Casselman, authored a piece that caught my eye.  Thanks to a keynote presentation by Fox News’ Juan Williams at this January’s Acquire or Be Acquired conference, I’m far more aware of the changing demographics of the United States — and what that means for financial institutions.

 

Based on my conversations with Juan in the desert, I found early inspiration for today’s piece while pouring over Ben’s What Baby Boomers’ Retirement Means For the U.S. Economy.  In combination with economic shifts — both domestically and globally — it is clear that changing demographics are transforming businesses.  As we trend towards a younger populace, Ben writes “all else equal, fewer workers means less economic growth… If more of the population is young or old that leaves fewer working-age people to support them and contribute to the economy.”  Clearly, banks need to be prepared to serve a population that will live longer.  Maybe more importantly, they need to court their most valuable customers — Gen X&Y and Millennials (relationships built, “gulp” through online & mobile experiences).

Putting Checks into the Cloud

In the world of checks, VerifyValid acknowledges that “paper is simply a vessel for holding information. The real check is the data fields it contains: the check number, the amount, the routing number, the recipient, and most important of all, the authorizing action which says that the account holder agrees to pay the stated amount to the payee.”  I had a chance to see Paul Doyle, the company’s Founder & CEO, inspire a crowd of CEOs and board members at The Growth Conference last week.  Flying home from New Orleans, I spent some time learning how the company overcame the challenge in providing this information electronically in such a way that prevents fraud.  As I see it, VerifyValid lowers an organization’s costs while increasing efficiency and financial security with every payment.  IMHO, their 2 minute, 25 second video is worth a watch.

Making Money Simple, Attractive and Intelligent

Located “in the heart of Utah’s Silicon Slopes,” MoneyDesktop is redefining the way millions of people interact with their finances.  As one of the fastest-growing financial technology providers, MoneyDesktop positions banks and credit unions as the financial hub of their account holders — think Mint on steroids — with its personal financial management, data-driven analytics and marketing technologies.  Some 450 financial institutions rely on this software-as-a-service vendor… and I saw last night they have plans to grow significantly in the months to come.  They write, and I agree, that account holders are changing.  “There is an ongoing shift away from traditional brick & mortar banking (and) technology is providing better ways for account holders to interact with their money, and with financial institutions.”  An interesting company delivering a very clean and user-friendly experience.

Aloha Friday!